Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001025 0.001171 0.001319 0.001480 0.001649 0.001821 0.002008
2025-04-27 0.000756 0.000958 0.001171 0.001411 0.001671 0.001942 0.002244
2025-05-04 0.000622 0.000869 0.001140 0.001454 0.001802 0.002171 0.002590
2025-05-11 0.000445 0.000711 0.001017 0.001383 0.001800 0.002252 0.002772
2025-05-18 0.000294 0.000561 0.000888 0.001295 0.001769 0.002292 0.002904
2025-05-25 0.000201 0.000468 0.000816 0.001262 0.001795 0.002393 0.003098
2025-06-01 0.000117 0.000368 0.000723 0.001198 0.001778 0.002440 0.003229
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000307 0.000673 0.001180 0.001812 0.002541 0.003419
2025-06-15 0.000048 0.000287 0.000677 0.001229 0.001925 0.002734 0.003712
2025-06-22 0.000019 0.000233 0.000624 0.001200 0.001940 0.002809 0.003868
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000202 0.000603 0.001209 0.002000 0.002936 0.004082
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000207 0.000637 0.001294 0.002154 0.003173 0.004424
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000142 0.000560 0.001241 0.002155 0.003255 0.004618
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000085 0.000482 0.001179 0.002144 0.003324 0.004800
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000067 0.000474 0.001220 0.002267 0.003556 0.005175
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000029 0.000401 0.001156 0.002249 0.003615 0.005346
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000005 0.000324 0.001074 0.002203 0.003636 0.005470
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001045 0.002225 0.003740 0.005692
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000228 0.000986 0.002201 0.003785 0.005841
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000199 0.000970 0.002236 0.003902 0.006076
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000202 0.001015 0.002359 0.004132 0.006449
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000172 0.000988 0.002376 0.004224 0.006652
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000160 0.000997 0.002444 0.004382 0.006934